Hi everyone,
In Update 12 emailed to you, I explained that our most bullish cycle in May is the Venus Synodic Cycle. That offers a very high probability 67% of 1 June closing higher than 24 April 2025. The GREEN fractal shows us the moves of Venus Synodic cycle in 2020 and I have added a new fractal showing us the Venus Synodic cycle in 2017. That is the dusty pink fractal on top, and the blue fractal is also from the same cycle however it is created from a different technique. Ignore the orange fractal for now.
Since update 12, I back-tested Pluto Rx 1st month in a more detail and what I saw is that 64% of the previous occasions the month has closed on a higher price. Not 58% as it was reported in the email. That increases the possibility of May 2025 to close on GREEN.
Confluence 3: Mars in Leo projects GREEN closures in Weeks ending 30 May 2025 with 63% historical probability.
Now we have 3 x confluences with above 60% historical probability stating a GREEN closure of May 2025.
You have access to the fractals. We continue to monitor them for invalidations and we will see which fractals will be invalidated in the coming days.
I still have bear reasons for expecting a RED closure of May: Saturn the boss of the chart, 2 x Yin: Month + Year; Black Moon Pluto square on 30 April carries a bear trend after with 67% historical probability and Mars Pluto Opposition on 27 April projecting a bottom around 13 May. However all of these reasons have a much smaller pool of data that was backtested.
Therefore the weight is now more on the side of a GREEN closure of May.
Despite that I can’t change my bias right now because we are still in the month of the Metal Dragon which I had already forecasted that would be a bull month. It began on 7 April and as soon as it began, the rally began. When the month of the Metal Snake arrives on 7 May 2025, the energy will change. And I want to see how it changes before I change my bias. For now I stick to my bear expectation from May because of the double Yin energy. Once I see how 7 May and the next few days perform, and how low Bitcoin dumps during the Chandrashtama 10 – 12 May, I will know by then what the energy of the Metal Snake does on the bitcoin market. We have had that energy only twice before. One Metal Snake month closed on GREEN (2020) and one Metal Snake month closed on RED (2015). 2025 is a Ying Year similar to 2015. In the Yang Year 2020, it is much easier to get an Yin month to close on a GREEN because they balance each other. In 2013, the last Year of the Snake closed on RED. That was exactly the same double Snake combination.
I hope you understand why I’m so cautious in May, it is a very convoluted month with many cycles contradicting each other. Those of you who have the daily timeframes, you can see how each cycle gives entirely different forecast and very rarely they converge on the same opinion.
If 10 – 12 May gives us a flat bottom, that would be a stronger bull signals.
I need to backtest Mercury and Venus cycles next and I will present the back-testing results to you soon.
Check for updates here regularly.